Saudi non-oil growth holds firm in March with PMI at 58: S&P Global

07/04/2025 10:40 AST

Saudi Arabia's non-oil private sector maintained its resilience in March, with the Kingdom's Purchasing Managers' Index reaching 58.1, the highest among its Middle Eastern peers.

According to the latest Riyad Bank Saudi Arabia PMI report compiled by S&P Global, non-oil private firms in the Kingdom witnessed a marked increase in new order volumes, although the growth rate softened further from the near 14-year record seen in January.

The March figure represented a slight decline from the 58.4 seen in February, but it was still higher than UAE's PMI rating of 54, Kuwait's at 52.3 and Qatar's at 52.

Any PMI reading above 50 signifies an expansion, while a reading below 50 indicates a contraction.

The sustained momentum reflects the Kingdom's Vision 2030 strategy to reduce reliance on oil by accelerating growth in tourism, manufacturing, logistics, and financial services.

Naif Al-Ghaith, chief economist at Riyad Bank, described the Saudi non-oil private sector as demonstrating "significant resilience and growth," adding: "This reading reflects sustained positive momentum in business conditions, highlighting the sector's robust economic health and its vital role in the ongoing diversification efforts of the Kingdom as envisaged by Vision 2030."

Saudi Arabia's non-oil businesses continued to increase their employment at an elevated pace in March, driven by an upturn in demand.

The report further said that staffing growth was little changed from February's 16-month high, as firms widely commented on efforts to build their sales teams and overall capacity.

Survey data also indicated that job growth in Saudi Arabia's non-oil private sector during the first three months of this year was the fastest since the third quarter of 2012.

"Rising employment rates are a direct benefit of businesses scaling up operations to meet demand. By providing more job opportunities, Saudi Arabia aims to nurture a skilled and ambitious workforce, reducing the unemployment rate to 7 percent for Saudi nationals," said Al-Ghaith.

Speaking at the World Investment Conference in Riyadh last November, Saudi Arabia's Minister of Economy and Planning Faisal Al-Ibrahim said non-oil activities now account for 52 percent of the Kingdom's gross domestic product. He added that the non-oil economy has grown by 20 percent since the launch of Vision 2030.

The latest PMI report added that greater marketing efforts, lower selling prices, and a broader improvement in economic conditions played a crucial role in driving sales growth among non-oil firms in Saudi Arabia in March.

New orders from foreign markets also rose in March, although the rate of expansion slowed.

Highlighting the affinity of Saudi Arabia's non-oil products in international markets, a report by the General Authority for Statistics revealed that the Kingdom's non-energy exports surged by 10.7 percent in January to reach SR26.48 billion ($7.06 billion).

According to the latest S&P Global report, increased workforces and stronger new businesses supported a robust upturn in non-oil private sector activity during March.

Non-oil firms in the Kingdom also engaged in additional stockpiling as they anticipate a sustained uplift in sales.

Companies that took part in the survey revealed that purchasing activity rose sharply in March, leading to another steep increase in total inventories.

"The improvement in business conditions supports efforts to attract investment, increase the competitiveness of the Saudi economy, and enhance local business growth," said Al-Ghaith.

He added: "This initiative is further supported by governmental enhancements in regulatory frameworks and infrastructure investments which pave the way for greater private and foreign investments."

Attracting international investments is one of the crucial goals outlined in Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030, with the Kingdom aiming to attract $100 billion a year in foreign direct investment by the end of this decade.

The latest S&P Global report further said that suppliers' delivery times improved in March, with several panellists noting that strong vendor relationships had facilitated efficiency gains.

However, some reports of supply disruption and administrative delays led to a much softer overall upturn in performance compared to February. This softening also hindered efforts to clear outstanding work, contributing to a renewed and sharp rise in total backlogs.

In terms of pricing, the latest survey revealed that input cost pressures witnessed a marked easing in March.

The report added that the rate of inflation dropped to its lowest level in just over four years, as firms saw a much weaker increase in purchase prices. Consequently, non-oil companies reduced their selling prices for the first time in six months.

"Sustaining and nurturing these positive trends, Saudi Arabia is laying the groundwork for a multifaceted and thriving economy that meets the aspirations of its people and the strategic goals of the nation," said Al-Ghaith.

"With each uptick in the PMI and every incremental GDP growth, the Kingdom moves closer to realizing its ambitions of a diversified, sustainable economic future," he concluded.

Arab News